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Description: We cannot tell anyone what is the correct way to weigh the costs and benefits of reopening schools, but we can use our group’s methods to give an idea of what to expect in September, both terms of both what happens to the students and their families, and the effect this will have on the pandemic on the whole.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Province of British Columbia
Group: Education, K to 12
Creator: Colijn, Caroline , Tupper, Paul
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2020-08-14
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their second report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (April 30, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Variants of Concern, Vaccinations
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: Otto, Sarah, Karlen, Dean, Colijn, Caroline , von Bergmann, Jens, James, Rob, Colliander, James, Cytrynbaum, Eric, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-04-29
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their third report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (May 14, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Variants of Concern, Vaccinations
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: Otto, Sarah, Karlen, Dean, Colijn, Caroline , von Bergmann, Jens, James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Coombs, Dan
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-05-14
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their fourth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (June 2, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Variants of Concern, Vaccinations, Alpha Variant, Beta Variant, Gamma Variant, Delta Variant
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: Cytrynbaum, Eric, Otto, Sarah, Karlen, Dean, Colijn, Caroline , von Bergmann, Jens, James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-06-02
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their fifth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (June 16, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Variants of Concern, Delta Variant, Vaccinations
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: Cytrynbaum, Eric, Otto, Sarah, Karlen, Dean, Colijn, Caroline , von Bergmann, Jens, James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia, Alberta
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-06-16
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their sixth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (July 7, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Delta Variant, Variants of Concern, Vaccinations
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: Cytrynbaum, Eric, Otto, Sarah, Karlen, Dean, Colijn, Caroline , von Bergmann, Jens, James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia, Alberta
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-07-07
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their seventh report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (July 28, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Delta Variant, Variants of Concern, Vaccinations, Interior Health, Alpha Variant, Gamma Variant
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: Cytrynbaum, Eric, Otto, Sarah, Karlen, Dean, Colijn, Caroline , von Bergmann, Jens, James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia, Alberta, United States, Italy
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-07-28
Description: Given the rapid escalation of case counts, the BC COVID-19 Modelling team has issued an update to their seventh report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (August 6, 2021).
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Vaccinations, Variants of Concern, Delta Variant
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, Colijn, Caroline , von Bergmann, Jens, James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, Otto, Sarah
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia, Alberta, United States
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-08-06
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their eighth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (August 18, 2021). This report shows that the growth in cases has been steady and it is urgent to reduce transmission and expand vaccination coverage to avoid overwhelming BC’s medical system.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Vaccinations, Delta Variant, Variants of Concern
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, Colijn, Caroline , von Bergmann, Jens, James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, Otto, Sarah, BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-08-18
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their ninth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (September 1, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Vaccinations, BC Vaccine Card, Delta Variant, Variants of Concern, Wastewater Surveillance
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, Colijn, Caroline , von Bergmann, Jens, James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, Otto, Sarah
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-09-01
Description: Given the changing COVID-19 situation in BC, the BC COVID Modelling Group has issued an update to their ninth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (September 15, 2021).
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Vaccinations, BC Vaccine Card, Delta Variant, Variants of Concern, Wastewater Surveillance
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, Colijn, Caroline , von Bergmann, Jens, James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, Otto, Sarah
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-09-15
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their tenth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (October 7, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Vaccinations, BC Vaccine Card
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Colijn, Caroline , Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, Otto, Sarah
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia, Alberta
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-10-07
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their eleventh report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (October 27th, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Vaccinations, BC Vaccine Card
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Colijn, Caroline , Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, Otto, Sarah
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-10-27
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their twelfth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (November 24th, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Vaccinations, Delta Variant, Variants of Concern
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Otto, Sarah, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, Cytrynbaum, Eric
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-11-24
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their thirteenth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (December 8th, 2021). This report focuses on the Omicron variant which poses a substantial risk for spreading rapidly in Canada, even among those fully vaccinated.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Vaccinations
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, Otto, Sarah
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-12-08
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their fourteenth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (December 22nd, 2021). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, which is spreading rapidly in Canada, even among those fully vaccinated.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Vaccinations
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: Otto, Sarah, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-12-22
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their fifteenth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (January 6th, 2022). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, which is spreading rapidly in Canada, even among those fully vaccinated.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Vaccinations
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, MacPherson, Ailene, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Otto, Sarah
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2022-01-06
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their sixteenth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (January 19th, 2022). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, which is spreading rapidly in Canada, even among those fully vaccinated.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Vaccinations
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, MacPherson, Ailene, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, Otto, Sarah
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia, Ontario
Format: Website content
Date: 2022-01-19
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their seventeenth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (February 4th, 2022). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, which is spreading rapidly in Canada, even among those fully vaccinated.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Wastewater Surveillance, Vaccinations, Influenza
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, MacPherson, Ailene, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, Otto, Sarah
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2022-02-04
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their eighteenth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (February 17th, 2022). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, which is spreading rapidly in Canada, even among those fully vaccinated.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Vaccinations
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, DuMont, Rob, MacPherson, Ailene, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn, Otto, Sarah
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia, Denmark
Format: Website content
Date: 2022-02-17
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their nineteenth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (March 18th, 2022). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, BA.2, which is rising rapidly in frequency and now accounts for ~50% of infections in Canada. Nevertheless, numbers of BA.2 are roughly steady at the moment.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Vaccinations, Ventilation
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Otto, Sarah, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, MacPherson, Ailene, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia, Ontario
Format: Website content
Date: 2022-03-17
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their twentieth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (April 6th, 2022). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, BA.2, which is rising rapidly in frequency and is now causing an uptick in cases and hospitalizations, beginning a second Omicron wave in BC.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Wastewater Surveillance, Vaccinations
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Otto, Sarah, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, DuMont, Rob, MacPherson, Ailene, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Tupper, Paul, Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2022-04-06
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their twenty-first report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (April 27th, 2022). This report focuses on the ongoing Omicron BA.2 wave and addresses the question of when it will peak and how big its impact will be.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Wastewater Surveillance
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Otto, Sarah, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, DuMont, Rob, MacPherson, Ailene, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2022-04-27
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their twenty-second report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (May 18th, 2022). This report focuses on the ongoing Omicron BA.2 wave, which appears to have peaked in BC and elsewhere in Canada, and examines data for new variants.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Wastewater Surveillance
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Otto, Sarah, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, DuMont, Rob, MacPherson, Ailene, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2022-05-18
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their twenty-third report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (July 13th, 2022). This report focuses on the rising Omicron BA.5 wave, which is now the most frequent variant in BC and Canada.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Wastewater Surveillance, Vaccinations
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Otto, Sarah, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, DuMont, Rob, MacPherson, Ailene, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia, Canada
Format: Website content
Date: 2022-07-13
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their twenty-fourth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (August 17th, 2022). This report shows that the Omicron BA.5 wave has peaked across much of Canada. Nevertheless, risks of infection remain high, with infections likely 100-fold more common than reported cases at present.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Wastewater Surveillance
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Otto, Sarah, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, DuMont, Rob, MacPherson, Ailene, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2022-08-17
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their twenty-fifth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (October 5th, 2022). The BA.5-driven Omicron wave persists with high rates of infection. The prolonged nature of the BA.5 wave is consistent with waning of immunity from infections and vaccinations early in the year. Future projections predict a rise in cases, even without new variants that are better able to evade immunity. Underreporting of cases is extremely high, with ~100-fold more infections currently than reported cases.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Wastewater Surveillance, Vaccinations, Moderna COVID-19 Vaccine
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Otto, Sarah, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, DuMont, Rob, MacPherson, Ailene, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2022-10-05
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their twenty-sixth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (November 23rd, 2022).
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Omicron Variant, Variants of Concern, Wastewater Surveillance
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Otto, Sarah, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, DuMont, Rob, MacPherson, Ailene, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2022-11-23
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their twenty-seventh report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (January 25th, 2023).
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Variants of Concern, "Kraken" Variant, Omicron Variant, Wastewater Surveillance
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Otto, Sarah, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, MacPherson, Ailene, Colliander, James, McDonald, Daniel J., Coombs, Dan, Are, Elisha, Wiley, Bryn
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2023-01-25
Description: The only way things can return to normal in BC is if a large portion of our population obtains immunity to the virus, either through infection or through vaccination. The problem is that there are three groups of people who are not protected when the vaccine rollout is complete, even under the most optimistic assumptions: i) children ii) people who decline the vaccine, iii) people for whom their vaccine doses are ineffective (efficacy is high, but not 100%). When we relax restrictions after the vaccination rollout the virus will have an opportunity to spread in these populations. But maybe the number of people who have immunity through vaccination will be enough, and at that point there will be few or no new infections: a consequence of so-called herd immunity.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Vaccinations, Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling, Vaccinations
Creator: Tupper, Paul, Colijn, Caroline
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Source: Simon Fraser University
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Blog post
Date: 2021-04-17
Relation: isbasedon:https://www.sfu.ca/magpie/blog/after_vaccination.html
Description: The appearance of new COVID-19 Variants of Concern has jurisdictions around the world scrambling to determine whether variants are already circulating within their communities. Here we present modelling results that indicate how many active cases are likely circulating within a community before the first variant is detected and how this number depends on the sampling strategies used by Public Health authorities.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Variants of Concern, Alpha Variant
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling
Creator: Otto, Sarah, Phillips, Brendon, Colijn, Caroline
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Source: Simon Fraser University
Coverage: Canada
Format: Blog post
Date: 2021-02-16
Relation: isbasedon:https://www.sfu.ca/magpie/blog/are-there-covid-variants-amongst-us-.html
Description: There has been a lot of discussion about “variants of concern” (VOC) internationally and across Canada. One of the most important concerns is that SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19 and so has caused the COVID pandemic we are all facing today, has found ways to become more transmissible.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Variants of Concern
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling
Creator: Are, Elisha, Colijn, Caroline
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Source: Simon Fraser University
Coverage: Canada
Format: Blog post
Date: 2021-03-02
Relation: isbasedon:https://www.sfu.ca/magpie/blog/variant-simple-proactive.html
Description: If we want to maximize opportunities for safe social interaction, and build up physical and mental health, we need to socialize in parks, not just in indoor venues.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Group: Government Affairs, Hospitality Industry
Creator: Colijn, Caroline , Tupper, Paul, Boury, Himani
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Source: Simon Fraser University
Coverage: British Columbia, British Columbia--Kelowna, British Columbia--Vancouver
Format: Blog post
Date: 2020-08-08
Relation: isbasedon:https://www.sfu.ca/magpie/blog/parks-and-bars.html
Description: Puzzled about what all the numbers mean when discussing rapid antigen tests (RATs)?
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Rapid Antigen Tests
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling
Creator: Tupper, Paul, Otto, Sarah, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Karlen, Dean, von Bergmann, Jens, Colijn, Caroline , James, Rob, Coombs, Dan, BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-12-27
Description: Unfortunately, we will not have enough vaccine doses for every British Columbian who wants to be vaccinated before the end of summer. We have to decide in what order British Columbians get the doses we do have. We hope that soon, people 80 years and older, COVID-facing healthcare workers, and remote indigenous communities will have all received both doses. We need to figure out who comes next.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Vaccinations
Group: Vaccinations
Creator: Tupper, Paul, McCabe, Chris, Colijn, Caroline
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Source: Simon Fraser University
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Blog post
Date: 2021-02-23
Relation: isbasedon:https://www.sfu.ca/magpie/blog/vaccinating-essential-workers.html
Description: What happens if a high-transmission variant becomes established, and is transmitted in the general community in Canada?
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Variants of Concern, Alpha Variant
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling
Creator: Colijn, Caroline , Are, Elisha
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Source: Simon Fraser University
Coverage: Canada
Format: Blog post
Date: 2021-02-09
Relation: isbasedon:https://www.sfu.ca/magpie/blog/high-transmission-variant-modelling.html
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their first report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (April 14, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling
Creator: Otto, Sarah, Karlen, Dean, Colijn, Caroline , von Bergmann, Jens, James, Rob, Colliander, James, Cytrynbaum, Eric, Tupper, Paul, Are, Elisha, BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Coombs, Dan, McDonald, Daniel J.
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Website content
Date: 2021-04-14
Description: The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their first report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (April 14, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members. This video, which is a supplement to this report, features Dr. Sarah Otto and Dr. Caroline Colijn walking you through these results and highlighting the take home messages.
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Subject: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Group: Testing, Case Counts, Analysis, & Modelling
Creator: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group, Coombs, Dan, Otto, Sarah, Colijn, Caroline
Publisher: BC COVID-19 Modelling Group
Coverage: British Columbia
Format: Video recording
Date: 2021-04-14
Extent: 33:03
Relation: https://bccovid-19group.ca/publication/april-2021-report/
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